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Nobody Likes Playing Tennis with the Net Down

January 24, 2025 by mark little Filed Under: Bitcoin

“Volatility Isn’t Risk: Stop Letting Price Swings Scare You Like a Rookie Trader!”

Let’s clear up one of the biggest myths about investing: volatility and risk are NOT the same thing. They are two different things. Too many investors—and even seasoned professionals—confuse these concepts, making decisions that hurt their portfolios and peace of mind.

Here’s a breakdown of this glaring blind spot:

Volatility is just price movement. It’s the up-and-down action of an asset as it gets valued against another asset over time.

Risk, on the other hand, is the chance of losing money, failing to achieve goals, or permanently eroding wealth.
Volatility is neutral—it’s not inherently good or bad. It’s the nature of markets. Risk, however, is always negative. Let’s break this down:

🔵 Volatility vs. Risk
Volatility is temporary noise. A volatile stock might jump 20% one week and dip 15% the next. Risk? That’s holding a company destined to go bankrupt.
Volatility is an opportunity, especially for long-term investors who use dips to buy. Risk? It’s the permanent loss of capital from poor decisions or bad investments.
Here’s a fun thought experiment: Imagine you’re holding Bitcoin. The price swings wildly—up 10%, down 5%, up 20%. That’s volatility. Now imagine putting your money into an overleveraged company with no path to profitability (remember Enron?). That’s risk. Which one keeps you up at night?

The real question about Bitcoin is, “How much volatility are you willing to ignore for an asset that has consistently performed 4-5 times better than stocks?

🟡 Why Volatility Scares People
Volatility gets a bad rap because it’s emotional. We’re wired to hate uncertainty, and large price swings make us feel out of control. But here’s the truth: Volatility isn’t your enemy—it’s your guide.
The key? Context matters. For a short-term trader, volatility is part of the game. For a long-term investor, it’s just noise. Over decades, the market smooths out the ups and downs. Meanwhile, true risks—like inflation or bad financial decisions—don’t care about time.

🟣 The Real Problem? Mis-managing Risk
Risk is sneaky. It involves the steady erosion of purchasing power from inflation, betting on an asset with no intrinsic value, panicking during market downturns, and selling at the bottom.
Successful investors embrace volatility while managing risk. They study price fluctuations to find opportunities and avoid permanent loss.

🟢 Final Thought: Are You Running From Shadows?
If you treat volatility as risk, you’re running from your own shadow. Don’t let temporary price swings scare you into making permanent mistakes.
The question isn’t, “How do I avoid volatility?” It’s, “Am I managing my risks effectively while staying calm through the natural ups and downs?”
Your portfolio—and your sanity—will thank you.

What do YOU think? How do you think volatility and risk are misunderstood in your circles, when it comes to assets that outpace inflation, like equities and Bitcoin?

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